Mon. Jul 22nd, 2024

England triumphed over Switzerland in a dramatic penalty shoot-out, securing their place in the Euro 2024 semi-finals, and now face the Netherlands next. Can they go all the way? Mike Norman explores the odds and latest betting tips.

Short Summary:

  • England defeated Switzerland 5-3 in the penalty shootout to advance to the semi-final of Euro 2024.
  • Gareth Southgate’s tactical adjustments were put to the test against a resilient Swiss side.
  • Betfair Exchange offers a 9/1 wager on England winning via penalties in their upcoming matches.

England’s journey through Euro 2024 continues as they emerge victorious against Switzerland in a nail-biting penalty shoot-out. The match, held in Düsseldorf, ended in a 1-1 draw after regular and extra time, but it was the composure and precision of Gareth Southgate’s men from the penalty spot that made the difference.

England’s record in major tournaments when it comes to penalty shootouts has historically been less than stellar. Out of nine, they had only won two before this tournament, with just one victory in five at the European Championships. However, their performance against Switzerland was nothing short of perfect, with every penalty taken with confidence and accuracy.

“I wouldn’t wish that walk on my worst enemy,” said England legend Alan Shearer, describing the nerve-wracking experience of taking a penalty in such high-stakes matches. His sentiment encapsulates the pressure faced by the players, and the relief that follows a successful shot.

England’s match against Switzerland showcased both their strengths and areas for improvement. Southgate made a tactical shift by bringing in Ezri Konsa to replace the suspended Marc Guehi, moving Kyle Walker into a back three. This defensive shuffle allowed Bukayo Saka to play as a right wing-back and Kieran Trippier on the left. Saka, a standout performer, consistently troubled the Swiss defence, though his efforts in the first half didn’t yield any goals.

The second half saw a more evenly matched game. Switzerland’s manager, Murat Yakin, made decisive substitutions that led to Breel Embolo scoring with just 15 minutes remaining. Southgate responded with a triple-substitution, and it was Saka who again made the difference, cutting in from the right and curling a long-range shot into the far corner in the 80th minute.

As the match edged into extra time and eventually to penalties, England’s mental fortitude came under the spotlight. Cole Palmer set the tone with a calm and composed opening penalty, followed by saves from Jordan Pickford that further tilted the balance in England’s favour. Exceptional penalties from Jude Bellingham, Saka, Ivan Toney, and Trent Alexander-Arnold sealed a 5-3 victory.

Looking ahead, England is now 9/4 to win Euro 2024, but the immediate challenge is their semi-final clash with the Netherlands in Dortmund. The Dutch side, led by Ronald Koeman, will be a formidable opponent, having displayed unexpected flair and resilience throughout the tournament.

For betting enthusiasts, the odds on England winning via penalties are particularly enticing at 9/1 with Betfair Exchange, as highlighted by Jimmy The Punt. He advises considering a wager on this outcome, given the history of tight knockout matches, nearly 45% ending in draws since 1996.

“Both sides live in the realm of small margins,” notes Jimmy The Punt. “Both have been lucky to score so many and fortunate to concede so few, making the prospect of another penalty shootout highly plausible.”

Reflecting on England’s journey, their defensive solidity has been a cornerstone of their success. Despite criticism for conservative play and lack of creativity, their approach has borne fruit, especially seen in their minimal goals conceded. Comparisons with other tournament heavyweights like Spain reveal that while England’s attacking statistics might not be as impressive, their defence has been robust.

Expectations are high as Gareth Southgate’s squad, valued at £1.5 billion according to Transfer Markt, is considered the most valuable in the competition. Contrastingly, Switzerland’s squad valuation stands at just £281 million, underscoring the depth and quality at Southgate’s disposal. The strategic use of substitutions, with players like £50 million-rated Ivan Toney making significant contributions even in short appearances, demonstrates the squad’s capability to turn games in their favour.

As betting strategies go, the option to back the draw and a subsequent penalty win is a shrewd move, considering the tight margins and historical data. The games are not won on spreadsheets, but the analytical edge can provide insights into potential outcomes. For comprehensive coverage and expert tips on the tournament, visit GamblingNews.co.uk and stay updated on the latest News.

Ultimately, the drama of Euro 2024 continues to unfold with England’s resilience and tactical acumen at its heart. Betting on a penalty shoot-out victory provides not only a lucrative opportunity but also a thrilling conclusion to what promises to be a closely contested path to the final. Fans and punters alike will be watching closely as England faces their toughest tests yet.

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